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State of Play in Group 2: Does India defeat hurt Pakistan most?

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But it’s still all to play for as the teams battle for a spot in the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2022 semi-finals. We take a look at the state of play as things stand

South Africa chase down India in low-scoring thriller | Match Highlights | T20WC 2022

Match highlights of South Africa restricting India in the first innings then chasing down their target in a low-scoring thriller at the ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2022

South Africa’s win over India means they jump into top spot in the group on five points.

India and Bangladesh are hot on their heels, both on four points.

A net run rate of +0.844 gives India the edge between those two sides, but Wednesday’s India v Bangladesh fixture now looks even more pivotal.

Zimbabwe’s stunning win over Pakistan had given them a chance, but their dramatic loss to Bangladesh means it will take something remarkable for them to finish in the top two from here.

South Africa’s Net RR of +2.772, created by the crushing 104-run win over Bangladesh, means they are now clear favourites to qualify in the group.

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Two defeats, both coming on the final ball of matches against India and Zimbabwe, have left Pakistan needing something special to make it to the semi-finals.

And their hopes have taken another blow thanks to India’s defeat against South Africa – a result that complicates the qualification permutations for Babar Azam’s side.

Chase master Virat Kohli stuns Pakistan as India win thriller | Match Highlights | T20WC 2022

Match highlights of India snatching an ICC Men's T20 World Cup 2022 thriller from Pakistan after a masterclass from Virat Kohli propelled them toward a stunning victory off the final ball.

If Pakistan beat South Africa on 3 November and Bangladesh on 6 November, they will have amassed six points.

But it is completely out of Pakistan’s own hands and looking increasingly unlikely that six points will be enough, although not mathematically impossible.

Sunday’s win for South Africa means that even if Pakistan beat the Proteas in their next match, it will not be enough to see them leapfrog Temba Bavuma’s side.

Net run rate could yet be a factor, so a big margin of victory in at least one of the remaining games wouldn’t hurt.

India v Bangladesh – 2 November

This is the fixture that could turn Group 2 on its head. A win for Bangladesh would blow the group wide open, putting them two points clear of India with just one game to play and potentially opening a path for India’s semi-final spot to be snatched from them in the last round of matches. Should India win, then they will have more than a foot in the semi-finals, with Zimbabwe awaiting them in Sunday’s fifth and final group game.

Pakistan v South Africa – 3 November

Depending on the results in the matches before them, Pakistan’s meeting with South Africa in Sydney could be enormous for both sides. It's a huge clash between two of the better teams in the world even without the context of qualification being at stake.

An epic montage of the MCG thriller between India and Pakistan | T20WC 2022

2 November: Zimbabwe v Netherlands, Adelaide Oval

2 November: India v Bangladesh, Adelaide Oval

3 November: Pakistan v South Africa, SCG, Sydney

6 November: South Africa v Netherlands, Adelaide Oval

6 November: Pakistan v Bangladesh, Adelaide Oval

6 November: Zimbabwe v India, MCG, Melbourne