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Zimbabwe will play a virtual final against UAE to seal a World Cup spot

Road to the World Cup: Who can still qualify?

CWCQ, article

The lowdown on who needs to do what to qualify for the 2019 ICC Cricket World Cup in England and Wales.

There are just three games remaining in the Super Sixes stage of the ICC Cricket World Cup Qualifier in Zimbabwe, and yet the tournament is still wide open. Five teams are still capable of finishing in the top two and thereby qualifying for the main event, ensuring an exciting finale to what has already been an enthralling competition. 


All teams have now played two of their three matches in the Super Sixes. The final three games left in this round are:

* Windies v Scotland, Wednesday 21 March
* UAE v Zimbabwe, Thursday 22 March
* Ireland v Afghanistan, Friday 23 March

Of these teams, only UAE have no chance of taking one of the two qualifying spots. Here’s what each of the other teams needs to do to ensure qualification.

WINDIES

Status: 6 points – they’re currently top of the table

If they win: They will qualify with 8 points

If they lose: Scotland will go through as one of the qualifiers. Yet, all is not lost for Windies
If Zimbabwe win against UAE, Windies are out of the running
If, however, Zimbabwe lose, Windies will be tied on six points with the winner of the Ireland v Afghanistan match and it will come down to net run rate

SCOTLAND

Status: 5 points – they’re level on points with Zimbabwe, but third in the table based on net run rate

If they win: They will qualify with 7 points

If they lose: Windies will qualify and Scotland are out of the running

ZIMBABWE

Status: 5 points – they’re second in the table after one win and one loss

If they win: They will qualify with 7 points, along with the winner of Windies v Scotland

If they lose: It’s all or nothing for Zimbabwe – lose and they're out. As Brendan Taylor said, this is as good as a final

IRELAND

Status: 4 points – they’re fourth in the table on four points

If they win: Even if they win, Ireland need a lot of results to go their way
If Zimbabwe win, even an Ireland win will not help them
If Zimbabwe lose, and Windies win their game, Ireland will qualify with the Windies
If Zimbabwe lose, and Windies also lose, Ireland will need a better net run rate than Jason Holder’s men to join Scotland

If they lose: Losing is not an option if they want to progress

AFGHANISTAN

Status: 4 points – they’re fifth in the table with four points, behind Ireland on net run rate

If they win: Even if Afghanistan win, they aren’t assured of qualification unless other results go their way. Their poor net run rate is also a concern
If Zimbabwe win, that’s the end of their hopes, as a win won’t matter.
If Zimbabwe lose, and Windies win their game, Afghanistan will qualify along with the two-time World Cup winners
If Zimbabwe lose, and Windies lose, a win will put Afghanistan level on points with Windies, and it will come down to net run rate, where they have significant ground to make up

If they lose: A loss will put an end to their World Cup dreams


Finally, to summarise, here are the seven possible combinations of qualifying pairs. It's everything to play for!

Windies, Zimbabwe
Windies, Ireland
Windies, Afghanistan
Scotland, Windies
Zimbabwe, Scotland
Scotland, Ireland
Scotland, Afghanistan

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